Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.873067 2.035190 2.207704 2.405410 2.626304 2.866164 3.147204
2025-11-16 1.602205 1.819104 2.063335 2.360447 2.714456 3.125672 3.643754
2025-11-23 1.440147 1.687762 1.978318 2.347881 2.810378 3.376736 4.133229
2025-11-30 1.354215 1.629256 1.963305 2.404579 2.980823 3.720195 4.761480
2025-12-07 1.256465 1.543547 1.901980 2.390270 3.050727 3.932084 5.231069
2025-12-14 1.171095 1.464458 1.839492 2.364211 3.096199 4.107816 5.661641
2025-12-21 1.077372 1.366674 1.743660 2.282750 3.054247 4.152225 5.899082
2025-12-28 1.027834 1.323252 1.715928 2.290444 3.135190 4.375848 6.426773
2026-01-04 0.990042 1.292568 1.702364 2.315245 3.240391 4.641832 7.048926
2026-01-11 0.957430 1.266480 1.692618 2.343364 3.350725 4.923228 7.727998
2026-01-18 0.926365 1.240340 1.680476 2.365863 3.452445 5.198115 8.428155
2026-01-25 0.890950 1.205770 1.653601 2.363253 3.512755 5.408586 9.037639
2026-02-01 0.841236 1.148737 1.591565 2.303720 3.478596 5.460479 9.368201
2026-02-08 0.803751 1.107788 1.551256 2.275531 3.493684 5.598475 9.882958
2026-02-15 0.773987 1.076723 1.523992 2.265956 3.538627 5.792547 10.535568
2026-02-22 0.762053 1.071662 1.535997 2.320551 3.698064 6.211023 11.717714
2026-03-01 0.735043 1.042247 1.508289 2.306948 3.734878 6.401087 12.435133
2026-03-08 0.707389 1.010556 1.475290 2.282053 3.748709 6.546906 13.074445
2026-03-15 0.670049 0.962276 1.413551 2.204176 3.658713 6.477216 13.198727
2026-03-22 0.653053 0.945221 1.401365 2.211533 3.728898 6.738971 14.163493
2026-03-29 0.640381 0.934411 1.398710 2.235246 3.831753 7.078843 15.384547
2026-04-05 0.628999 0.925125 1.397994 2.262129 3.942560 7.447371 16.751977
2026-04-12 0.617172 0.914578 1.394560 2.283635 4.044044 7.806379 18.167443